The Economy Has Layers: Timescale Separation and Baumol's Ceiling

Paper 15draftIntroductory
Jon Smirl — March 2026
Abstract. The economy operates on distinct layers --- semiconductors over decades, manufacturing over years, retail over months, finance over days --- and the slowest layer sets a ceiling on everything above it. This article explains where these layers come from, why they matter, and what happens when a slow layer breaks.